ANTIMONY

Antimony: The Most Important Mineral You Never Heard Of

Most folks have likely never heard of antimony (Sb), but it is important to their lives nevertheless. In fact, were it not for antimony produced in North America, the outcome of World War II might have turned out differently.

Demand For Antimony

Antimony is a strategic critical mineral that is used in all manner of military applications, including the manufacture of armor piercing bullets, night vision goggles, infrared sensors, precision optics, laser sighting, explosive formulations, hardened lead for bullets and shrapnel, ammunition primers, tracer ammunition, nuclear weapons and production, tritium production, flares, military clothing, and communication equipment. Antimony is the key element in the creation of tungsten steel and the hardening of lead bullets, two of its most crucial applications during WWII.
The global demand for antimony in the coming years cannot be met from current supplies. This increasing demand will impact all of us in a variety of ways, because antimony is a crucial element in far more than just military applications.
For example, consider Antimony’s usage in the high-tech sector, where it is a key ingredient in semi-conductors, circuit boards, electric switches, fluorescent lighting, high quality clear glass and lithium-ion batteries. No antimony, no iPhones. No hi-definition TVs. No modern kitchen appliances, all of which make use of digital circuitry. Oh, and that car you’re thinking about buying? Sorry.
Now, consider this: There can be no “energy transition” without adequate supplies of antimony. That thick, heavy glass used in solar panels? It’s made with antimony. Those 300 to 700 foot-tall windmills that sporadically produce electricity? Made with antimony. Antimony is a key element in the manufacture of lithium-ion batteries, as mentioned above, but even more crucial is the fact that it is integral to the development of the next-generation liquid metal batteries that hold the key to truly scalable energy storage for wind and solar power.
Its biggest application today is as a flame retardant, which accounted for around half of global usage in 2023, according to brokerage CICC.
At the same time, about a fifth of antimony was used to make photovoltaic glass to improve the performance of solar cells.
Antimony has also become increasingly strategic because of its use in military equipment, such as infrared missiles, nuclear weapons and night vision goggles, and as a hardening agent for bullets and tanks.
The most commonly mined ore is called stibnite, which contains antimony and sulphur. Antimony can also be a byproduct of gold mining.
Geologica’s Titan and Topley properties have shown anomalous concentrations of Antimony in conjunction with Copper and Gold mineralization.

Antimony Supply

Prior to the buildup to the War, the United States was almost entirely dependent on China for its supply of antimony. When that supply was cut off by Japan, America had to find another source of this key mineral. Fortunately for the U.S. at that time, a gold mine in central Idaho called the Stibnite mine was able to step up production of the antimony that is an element in the mine’s ore and helped fill the void. The mine was shut down in 1997.
Today, the west finds itself once again wholly reliant on other countries for its antimony needs, most heavily China and to a lesser extent, Russia. As Christopher Ecclestone, Mining Strategist at London-based Hallgarten & Company, said during a webinar, “as recently as a few years ago, China produced as much as 80% of the world’s supply of antimony. But years of over-production of its key mines, along with lingering low commodity prices have reduced China’s share of global production.”
As tensions between the U.S. and China continue rising, so do concerns about the ultimate source of that supply.
Obviously, the West needs to develop domestic supplies of this critical mineral, but where will it come from? Exploration companies like Geologica, focused on Copper/Gold exploration projects enhanced with Antimony seek to fill this supply gap.

China’s Role in the Antimony Supply

China is the largest producer of antimony, accounting for 48% of mine production in 2023, followed by Tajikistan at 25%, U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) data showed. In China, antimony reserves are concentrated in Guangxi, Hunan and Gansu provinces. China is also the biggest producer of processed antimony, including antimony trioxide (ATO), which is traditionally used in flame retardants and increasingly as a clarifying agent in solar glass.
Consultancy Project Blue said China had also been the biggest exporter of antimony ingots, with purity above 99%, but as Chinese production of solar cells has surged, more ingot is consumed domestically.
China’s exports of unwrought antimony, including ingot, fell 45% year-on-year in the first half of 2024 to 1,694 metric tons, customs data showed. Imports of antimony to the USA dropped by 95% in October 2024.

ANTIMONY SUPPLY IS VERY TIGHT

Known antimony reserves can meet demand for about 24 years, far less than known reserves of rare earths, lithium and other metals, though slightly more than for silver, USGS data showed.
China is the biggest antimony ore producer, however production has declined to 40,000 tons in 2023 from 61,000 tons in 2020 as a result of falling ore grades and more stringent environmental requirements.
Despite its dominance in ore output, China is a net importer of antimony concentrates and depends on ore from countries including Thailand, Myanmar and Russia.
Russia was once a major antimony concentrate exporter to China, but its supply fell sharply this year as major producer Polyus’ output declined. Export duty and mineral extraction tax also made shipping the material overseas less attractive.
“There is no pipeline of supply to turn on,” said Christopher Ecclestone, a principal and mining strategist at Hallgarten & Company in London.
China has accounted for more than 70% of ATO production globally since 2022, said Project Blue.
Outside China, processing capacity is limited.
The market is also tight because of increased demand from the solar and military sectors, with a deficit estimated at 10,000 tons in May by Project Blue. The shortfall could widen after the latest Chinese restrictions.

Breaking China’s monopoly

The West has been trying for years to loosen China’s grip on the supply of critical minerals and diversify its supply chains. But figures from the U.S. Geological Survey underscore just how little progress has been achieved—at least when it comes to antimony.
China produced more than 40,000 tonnes of the silvery-white metal in 2023, about 48% of the world’s total production of 83,000 tonnes, according to the USGS. Other producers include Tajikistan (26%), Turkey (7.2%), Myanmar (5.5%), Russia (5.2%), Bolivia (3.6%), and Australia (2.8%).
According to the Washington-based Center for Strategic and International Studies, the U.S. has not mined antimony since the Sunshine mine in Idaho closed in 2001, and today imports about 63% of its antimony from China, 8% from Belgium, 6% from India and 4% from Bolivia. It retrieves the rest from recycling lead-acid batteries.

US-China trade tensions

Concerns about the critical mineral supply chain in Washington accelerated earlier this month when China banned exports of antimony, gallium and germanium to the U.S. on Dec. 3. Pushing the price of antimony up by 40% to $39,000/ton.
The tit-for-tat sanctions and anticipation of more trade disputes under incoming U.S. president Donald Trump, along with reduced supply from other sources of antimony like Russia, have driven prices higher. At the start of the year antimony hovered around US$12,000 per tonne but the price is now closer to US$39,000 per tonne.
“It’s a hot speculative commodity this year by virtue of the supply restrictions coming out of China and various other supply restrictions from other countries as well,” said Doug Unwin, president of Geologica Resource Corp.
Also, internal conflict in Myanmar has led to limited and unreliable supplies coming out of Southeast Asia, and Russian supplies to the West have been eliminated due to sanctions imposed following their invasion of Ukraine. These negative supply shocks drive home the importance of securing reliable sources of antimony, and other critical elements.

Impact on Prices

Antimony prices have already hit record highs.
Chinese antimony, CIF Northwestern Europe and of 99.65% purity, traded at all-time highs above $22,000 a metric ton by the end of July, LSEG Workspace data showed.
In China, antimony, of 99.91% purity, has traded at a record 162,500 yuan ($22,657.24) a ton since Wednesday, Shanghai Metal Exchange data showed.
Industry analysts say prices could climb another $8,000 a ton this year to $30,000, as ex-China buyers seek to stockpile more material because of the new restriction. Price increased by 40% and reached $39,000/ton on announcement of China barring shipments to the US.
 
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